PROBABILISTIC LIFECYCLE ANALYSIS
CAPA Lifecycle Markov Model
Illustrative transition model showing the probability of a CAPA moving between lifecycle states at each review period.
Markov Lifecycle Flow
Forward probabilities are shown above the main lifecycle. Dashed curves indicate feedback transitions.Closure Probability Projection
Starting from the first state, probability of reaching the terminal state10-Step Projection
Distribution after ten transitionsOPENOpen0.15%
INVInvestigation0.62%
ACTCorrective Action1.37%
VERVerification1.99%
CLOClosed95.87%
Transition Matrix
Rows = current state, columns = next state| From \ To | OPEN | INV | ACT | VER | CLO | Row total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 0.200000 | 0.800000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 |
| INV | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.700000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 |
| ACT | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.150000 | 0.750000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 |
| VER | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 |
| CLO | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 |