PROBABILISTIC LIFECYCLE ANALYSIS
CAPA Accelerated Closure Model
Alternative illustrative transition model for management scenario analysis with a higher probability of progressing to verification.
Markov Lifecycle Flow
Forward probabilities are shown above the main lifecycle. Dashed curves indicate feedback transitions.Closure Probability Projection
Starting from the first state, probability of reaching the terminal state10-Step Projection
Distribution after ten transitionsOPENOpen0.00%
INVInvestigation0.02%
ACTCorrective Action0.09%
VERVerification0.20%
CLOClosed99.68%
Transition Matrix
Rows = current state, columns = next state| From \ To | OPEN | INV | ACT | VER | CLO | Row total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 0.100000 | 0.900000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 |
| INV | 0.050000 | 0.100000 | 0.850000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 |
| ACT | 0.000000 | 0.050000 | 0.100000 | 0.850000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 |
| VER | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.900000 | 1.000000 |
| CLO | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 |