QUALITY MANAGEMENT

CAPA Accelerated Closure Model

PROBABILISTIC LIFECYCLE ANALYSIS

CAPA Accelerated Closure Model

Alternative illustrative transition model for management scenario analysis with a higher probability of progressing to verification.
Markov Lifecycle Flow
Forward probabilities are shown above the main lifecycle. Dashed curves indicate feedback transitions.
Probabilistic flow
90.0% stay 10.0% OPEN Open Lifecycle state 85.0% stay 10.0% INV Investigation Lifecycle state 85.0% stay 10.0% ACT Corrective Action Lifecycle state 90.0% stay 5.0% VER Verification Lifecycle state stay 100.0% CLO Closed Absorbing state INV→OPEN 5.0% ACT→INV 5.0% VER→ACT 5.0% Main lifecycle progression Self-loops and feedback transitions model CAPA rework or repeated review.
Closure Probability Projection
Starting from the first state, probability of reaching the terminal state
10-Step Projection
Distribution after ten transitions
OPENOpen0.00%
INVInvestigation0.02%
ACTCorrective Action0.09%
VERVerification0.20%
CLOClosed99.68%
Transition Matrix
Rows = current state, columns = next state
From \ ToOPENINVACTVERCLORow total
OPEN0.1000000.9000000.0000000.0000000.0000001.000000
INV0.0500000.1000000.8500000.0000000.0000001.000000
ACT0.0000000.0500000.1000000.8500000.0000001.000000
VER0.0000000.0000000.0500000.0500000.9000001.000000
CLO0.0000000.0000000.0000000.0000001.0000001.000000
Run Projection
Calculate any starting state and step count